60def1155b
The "warned a median -18 days later" line was the median-over-1-event trap: the coincident baseline's 60d median is a single lucky event, while breadth warned on 7. Replace it with the honest coverage framing (7/11 vs 1/11) and flag that the median-lead comparison is unreliable when coverage differs this much. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>