17495 lines
522 KiB
JSON
17495 lines
522 KiB
JSON
{
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|
"generated_at": "2026-07-17T12:15:02.918220+02:00",
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"snapshot": "C:\\Workspace\\signal-platform\\backtest_snapshots\\prod.sqlite",
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"period_start": "2024-07-01",
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"tickers": 505,
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"entry_candidates": 39867,
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"qualified_candidates": 484,
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"params": {
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"initial_entry_cadence_days": 5,
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"post_stop_evaluation_cadence_days": 1,
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"setup_stop_atr_multiplier": 1.5,
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"exit_policy": "atr_trail3",
|
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"exit_atr_multiplier": 3.0,
|
|
"hold_days": 30,
|
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"cost_per_side_pct": 0.1,
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"momentum_percentile_floor": 80.0,
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"reclaim_atr_buffer": 0.25,
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"cooldown_sessions": [
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3,
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5,
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7,
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10
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]
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},
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"arms": [
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{
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"arm": "immediate",
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"starting_capital": 10000.0,
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"final_equity": 23771.78,
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"total_return_pct": 137.7,
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"cagr_pct": 54.1,
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"max_drawdown_pct": 13.7,
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"sharpe": 2.11,
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"trades": 186,
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"win_rate": 36.0,
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"avg_trade_pnl": 74.04,
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"best_trade_r": 12.87,
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"worst_trade_r": -3.75,
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"best_trade_pnl": 2486.64,
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"worst_trade_pnl": -721.05,
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"avg_hold_days": 14.7,
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"exit_reasons": {
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"stop": 88,
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"time": 41,
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},
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"skipped_book_full": 0,
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"spy_return_pct": 36.6,
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"yearly_returns": [
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{
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"year": 2024,
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"return_pct": 28.9
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},
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{
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"year": 2025,
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"return_pct": 53.3
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},
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{
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"year": 2026,
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"return_pct": 20.3
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}
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],
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"start_date": "2024-07-01",
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"end_date": "2026-07-02",
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"post_stop_events": 88,
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"post_stop_reentries": 66,
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"reentry_events": [
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{
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"symbol": "COIN",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2024-07-25",
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"reentry_date": "2024-07-25"
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},
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{
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"symbol": "PSX",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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},
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{
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"reentry_date": "2024-09-04"
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},
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{
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"symbol": "DELL",
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{
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{
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"symbol": "RMD",
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"stop_date": "2024-09-18",
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"reentry_date": "2024-09-26"
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},
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{
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"symbol": "RMD",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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},
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{
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"symbol": "IP",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2024-09-23",
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},
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{
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},
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{
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},
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{
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"symbol": "NVDA",
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},
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{
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"symbol": "GM",
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},
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{
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},
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{
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"symbol": "GM",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-01-08",
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},
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{
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"symbol": "TPL",
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"reentry_date": "2025-03-04"
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{
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"symbol": "CHRW",
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"stop_date": "2025-03-05",
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"reentry_date": "2025-03-07"
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{
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"symbol": "T",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-03-11",
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{
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"symbol": "CHRW",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-03-11",
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{
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"symbol": "CVNA",
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"stop_date": "2025-02-20",
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{
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-04-03",
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},
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{
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"symbol": "AXON",
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{
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{
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"symbol": "IBKR",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"reentry_date": "2025-05-15"
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{
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"symbol": "CHTR",
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"stop_date": "2025-06-13",
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"reentry_date": "2025-06-24"
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},
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{
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"symbol": "NEM",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-07-08",
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"reentry_date": "2025-07-08"
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|
},
|
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{
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"symbol": "APP",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-06-18",
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"reentry_date": "2025-07-17"
|
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},
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{
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"symbol": "CIEN",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-06-05",
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"reentry_date": "2025-07-23"
|
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},
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{
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"symbol": "CF",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-08-01",
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"reentry_date": "2025-08-04"
|
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},
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{
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"symbol": "UAL",
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"wait_sessions": 2,
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|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-08-01",
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"reentry_date": "2025-08-05"
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},
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{
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"symbol": "PODD",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-02-25",
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"reentry_date": "2025-08-08"
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},
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{
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"symbol": "NVDA",
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|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-08-01",
|
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"reentry_date": "2025-08-13"
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},
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{
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"symbol": "NVDA",
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|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-08-20",
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"reentry_date": "2025-08-26"
|
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},
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{
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"symbol": "NFLX",
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|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2025-09-02",
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"reentry_date": "2025-09-03"
|
|
},
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{
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"symbol": "COIN",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2024-08-01",
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"reentry_date": "2025-09-09"
|
|
},
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|
{
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"symbol": "NFLX",
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|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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|
"stop_date": "2025-09-12",
|
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"reentry_date": "2025-09-19"
|
|
},
|
|
{
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|
"symbol": "GM",
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|
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|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-01-28",
|
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"reentry_date": "2025-09-30"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "NFLX",
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|
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|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2025-09-30",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2025-10-10"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "AXON",
|
|
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|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2025-09-03",
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"reentry_date": "2025-10-23"
|
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},
|
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{
|
|
"symbol": "VLO",
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"wait_sessions": 329,
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2024-07-08",
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"reentry_date": "2025-10-28"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "DG",
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|
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|
|
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|
|
"stop_date": "2025-10-24",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2025-11-05"
|
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},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "DG",
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|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
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"stop_date": "2025-11-06",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2025-11-13"
|
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},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "DG",
|
|
"wait_sessions": 4,
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|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
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"stop_date": "2025-11-19",
|
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"reentry_date": "2025-11-25"
|
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},
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{
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"symbol": "CVS",
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-12-03",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2025-12-09"
|
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},
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|
{
|
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"symbol": "APTV",
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|
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-11-14",
|
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"reentry_date": "2025-12-18"
|
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},
|
|
{
|
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"symbol": "DLTR",
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|
"wait_sessions": 0,
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
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"stop_date": "2025-12-22",
|
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"reentry_date": "2025-12-22"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
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"symbol": "MPWR",
|
|
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"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
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"stop_date": "2025-12-17",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-01-14"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "NVDA",
|
|
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|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2025-08-29",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-01-28"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "EL",
|
|
"wait_sessions": 5,
|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2026-01-28",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-02-04"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "APP",
|
|
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|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2025-11-13",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-03-04"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "ADM",
|
|
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|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2026-03-05",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-03-10"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "ADM",
|
|
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|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2026-03-20",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-03-24"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "NVDA",
|
|
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|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2026-02-03",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-04-06"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "ADM",
|
|
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|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2026-04-08",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-04-08"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "GM",
|
|
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|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2025-10-03",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-04-15"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "LVS",
|
|
"wait_sessions": 29,
|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2026-03-06",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-04-17"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "ADM",
|
|
"wait_sessions": 6,
|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2026-04-15",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-04-23"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "IVZ",
|
|
"wait_sessions": 110,
|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2025-11-17",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-04-28"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "CHRW",
|
|
"wait_sessions": 269,
|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2025-04-03",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-04-30"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "MRK",
|
|
"wait_sessions": 27,
|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2026-04-16",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-05-26"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "CVS",
|
|
"wait_sessions": 1,
|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2026-05-26",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-05-27"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "CHRW",
|
|
"wait_sessions": 19,
|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2026-05-04",
|
|
"reentry_date": "2026-06-01"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"symbol": "APA",
|
|
"wait_sessions": 6,
|
|
"reason": "gate_still_or_again_qualified",
|
|
"stop_date": "2026-05-26",
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|
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}
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|
]
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|
}
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|
],
|
|
"note": "Initial opportunities retain the validated weekly replay cadence. Only tickers stopped at their initial stop switch to daily evaluation, which isolates next-day/same-episode re-entry churn. A cooldown of N sessions permits the first re-entry at wait_sessions=N. Gate reset requires at least one unqualified daily close before requalification. The reclaim arm alternatively accepts a close above stop-day high + 0.25 ATR only when the new setup stop is above the prior stop."
|
|
}
|