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}, { "bands": [ 25.0, 50.0, 65.0 ], "shares": { "stable": 82.1, "watch": 9.8, "elevated": 4.7, "breaking": 3.4 } }, { "bands": [ 25.0, 50.0, 70.0 ], "shares": { "stable": 82.1, "watch": 9.8, "elevated": 6.9, "breaking": 1.2 } } ] } }, "scenarios": { "note": "pillar arithmetic on explicit sensor scores; State weights unchanged", "vix_a": [ { "scenario": "S1 ordinary tape", "P1": 0.0, "P2": 0.0, "P3": 7.5, "price": 7.5, "breadth": 0.0, "C1": 0.0, "V1": 4.0, "state": 3.6 }, { "scenario": "S2 10% correction, calm credit", "P1": 30.0, "P2": 0.0, "P3": 31.25, "price": 31.25, "breadth": 62.5, "C1": 0.0, "V1": 34.4, "state": 33.28 }, { "scenario": "S3a 2022-style, calm credit, no death cross", "P1": 87.5, "P2": 0.0, "P3": 90.83, "price": 90.83, "breadth": 100.0, "C1": 0.0, "V1": 60.0, "state": 70.33 }, { "scenario": "S3b 2022-style, calm credit, death cross", "P1": 87.5, "P2": 100.0, "P3": 90.83, "price": 100.0, "breadth": 100.0, "C1": 0.0, "V1": 60.0, "state": 74.0 }, { "scenario": "S4 credit event on top", "P1": 100.0, "P2": 100.0, "P3": 100.0, "price": 100.0, "breadth": 100.0, "C1": 75.0, "V1": 86.67, "state": 93.0 }, { "scenario": "S5 March 2020, everything pegged", "P1": 100.0, "P2": 100.0, "P3": 100.0, "price": 100.0, "breadth": 100.0, "C1": 100.0, "V1": 100.0, "state": 100.0 } ] }, "diagnostics": { "vix_top10": [ [ "2025-04-08", 52.33 ], [ "2025-04-07", 46.98 ], [ "2025-04-04", 45.31 ], [ "2025-04-10", 40.72 ], [ "2024-08-05", 38.57 ], [ "2025-04-11", 37.56 ], [ "2025-04-21", 33.82 ], [ "2025-04-09", 33.62 ], [ "2025-04-16", 32.64 ], [ "2026-03-27", 31.05 ] ], "candidate_anchors": { "P5_VIX_ANCHORS_A": [ [ 15.0, 0.0 ], [ 20.0, 20.0 ], [ 25.0, 38.0 ], [ 30.0, 55.0 ], [ 40.0, 80.0 ], [ 55.0, 100.0 ] ], "P5_VIX_ANCHORS_B": [ [ 15.0, 0.0 ], [ 20.0, 25.0 ], [ 25.0, 45.0 ], [ 30.0, 65.0 ], [ 40.0, 85.0 ], [ 55.0, 100.0 ] ], "P1_TREND_BREAK_ANCHORS": [ [ 0.0, 20.0 ], [ 3.0, 35.0 ], [ 8.0, 55.0 ], [ 15.0, 75.0 ], [ 25.0, 100.0 ] ] } }, "v4_recommendation": { "state_bands_candidate": [ 20.0, 50.0, 65.0 ], "provisional": false, "note": "confirm against band_grid + scenarios before shipping" } }