Commit Graph
7 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
dennisthiessenandClaude Opus 4.8 0e556d8a43 fix(sec): keep the market-cap fallback through an amendment merge
Found in review. _merge_amendments rebuilds a period from _MERGED_FIELDS +
_CARRIED_FIELDS alone, so a column in neither list is absent from the merged
row, not just stale — and callers read it with getattr(..., None), which
silently yields None. weighted_avg_diluted_shares was never added when the
market-cap fallback landed (_SNAPSHOT_COLS in the importer was updated, its
counterpart in the derivation was not).

The failure needed both of this branch's fixes at once: a multi-class issuer
with a partial amendment on its latest period (META with a Part-III-only
10-K/A) would silently lose market cap and FCF yield again.

Adds the field, a regression test for that case, and a guard test asserting
the merge/carry lists cover every SnapshotRow field, so the next column added
fails loudly rather than losing data quietly. Confirmed the guard catches the
original bug.

Also from review:
- Expose pe_caveat in the valuation payload, so a P/E suppressed by split
  contamination says why instead of looking like missing data (the caveat was
  set but never read).
- no_xbrl_filings now names both causes; the old text advised pinning a CIK
  override, which is wrong for a genuine new registrant that simply has not
  filed yet and clears itself.
- Document that fiscalYearEnd is the issuer's current calendar, so a fiscal-
  year-end change degrades old periods (fallback/newest-wins), not current ones.
- Parser-level tests for _select_weighted_avg_shares (shortest-span-wins and
  concept priority), which only had derivation-level coverage.

823 unit tests pass.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-24 10:50:17 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Opus 4.8 921f3d06fb fix(sec): correct fundamentals derivation from SEC company facts
The A5 parity report surfaced coverage gaps and wrong values that all traced
to the SEC facts parser and read-time derivation rather than to bad source
data. Fixes, each validated by replaying the production parser + derivation
against live company facts:

- Period identity is derived from period_end against the issuer's fiscal
  calendar, not SEC's fy/fp fields, which collide (two period ends on one key,
  one silently discarded) and invert (a period sorting before one that precedes
  it) often enough to break the quarter chain. Recovers BXP, CRM, CRWD, FRT,
  MTD, NTAP, PPL, STX, WDAY. Fixed labels are internal ordering keys only (not
  in any API schema), so a filer whose year ends in early January shifting by
  one is harmless.
- Revenue concept list gains RevenuesNetOfInterestExpense (banks) and the
  IncludingAssessedTax variant (REITs/consumer); EPS gains the continuing-ops
  variant (REG/FCX) and, last, basic EPS for a period tagging no diluted
  variant at all (PPL). All appended, so any issuer that already resolved keeps
  its concept.
- YTD span tolerance 20 -> 25 days, covering 4-4-5 retail calendars whose
  36-week YTD-Q3 (251-252d) previously missed by ~2 (COST, PEP, DPZ).
- Amendment resolution is per field: a partial 10-K/A (Part III only, no
  financial facts) no longer blanks the period (DVN).
- TTM diluted EPS is suppressed when a split contaminates the trailing window
  (BKNG's mixed-unit sum produced a P/E of 1.10 that clamped to a perfect
  fundamental sub-score). A post-filing split with no share-count evidence
  (KLAC) remains undetectable from this data.
- Multi-class share fallback: weighted_avg_diluted_shares is captured and used
  for market cap when the cover-page count is absent (dimensional, so missing
  from company facts for META/CMCSA/CHTR/FOXA/NWSA/LEN). Within ~0.6% of the
  true count on controls; flagged shares_estimated in the API. BRK-B has no
  weighted-average fact either and stays unavailable.

820 unit tests pass; new tests confirmed to fail against the pre-fix code.
Effect is inert until existing rows are reparsed (see reparse path).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-24 10:23:51 +02:00
dennisthiessen ce8c60d957 feat: add fundamentals parity reporting 2026-07-23 21:17:58 +02:00
dennisthiessen 361cfd7883 docs: record fundamentals research decision and clean up 2026-07-23 17:50:33 +02:00
dennisthiessen eae4d34c06 feat: add fundamentals weighting backtest research 2026-07-23 15:49:15 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Opus 4.8 256880899b fix(fundamentals): A4a review — stricter null semantics in derivation
1. net_debt requires BOTH cash and total_debt; a missing side is null, not
   treated as zero (which would be a partial, misleading value).
2. net_debt_to_ebitda is null when TTM EBITDA <= 0 — a negative denominator
   would otherwise rank a distressed issuer as favorably low-leverage.
3. The quarter tape is the CONSECUTIVE run ending at the latest period (stops at
   a gap), so trend text never compares non-adjacent quarters as if consecutive.
4. YoY growth is null when the prior-year TTM is <= 0 (e.g. loss->profit), which
   is not a meaningful percentage.

Also corrected the plan's net-debt formula to total debt − (cash + ST) matching
the positive-means-net-debt implementation. +4 tests. 10 passed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-22 20:20:29 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Opus 4.8 a549942afe feat(fundamentals): A4a — pure read-time metric derivation
Derives the display metrics from the stored YTD snapshots at read time (no I/O,
no DB), per the A3 schema decision. Given an issuer's snapshot rows it produces:

- amendment selection (newest accepted_at per fiscal period);
- discrete quarters = YTD(Qn) - YTD(Qn-1), Q4 = YTD(FY) - YTD(Q3);
- TTM = trailing four discrete quarters; missing period -> null, never partial;
- metric series (value + 4-quarter tape, each point dated): revenue_growth_yoy,
  eps_growth_yoy, operating_margin, fcf_margin, net_debt, net_debt_to_ebitda,
  share_count_change_yoy;
- request-time valuation inputs (ttm_diluted_eps, ttm_fcf, shares_outstanding)
  for the API to combine with price.

Units per app convention (percentages = pp, leverage = multiple, dollars).
Tests: 6 (growth+Q4, margins, net-debt/EBITDA+dilution, valuation inputs,
missing-period-null, amendment selection). Verified on real Apple snapshots:
op margin 32.6%, net-debt/EBITDA 0.10, buyback -1.7%/yr, TTM EPS $8.26.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-22 20:10:52 +02:00