The dashboard Top Setups list showed raw fields in arbitrary order with no
indication of why a ticker was listed or which was best. Now sort by expected
value (R) — probability-weighted payoff per unit risk — so the strongest
opportunity is row 1, badged "Top pick", with a new Exp. Value column that
folds R:R and target probability into one "is this worth taking" number.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Overview Top Setups shows the primary target's probability (concrete,
distance-calibrated) instead of the overlapping confidence number. The
stale 100% confidences were leftovers from the old model and self-heal
on rescan; confidence stays in the detail view + gate.
- Each metric now has one home: composite = ranking, target probability =
actionability, confidence = direction conviction.
- Staleness message states the real basis (% of entry->target distance
already covered), not the raw % from entry, so narrow setups read
correctly ("67% of the move is gone").
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Make "qualified" mean an edge candidate, not just R:R + confidence.
The gate now also requires (all admin-configurable, defaults on):
- high conviction: recommended_action LONG_HIGH / SHORT_HIGH only
- clean read: risk_level Low (no contradicting signals)
- probable primary target: best target probability >= min (default 60)
- Shared predicate: app/services/qualification.py +
frontend/src/lib/qualification.ts (mirrored)
- Activation config extended (min_target_probability,
require_high_conviction, exclude_conflicts) with bool-aware
get/update + validation
- /trades/performance switched to ?qualified_only=true, applying
the full gate server-side; confidence breakdown stays unfiltered
- Dashboard "Qualified", Signals "Qualified only" toggle, and
Track Record all use the one gate; Admin gains the new controls
Sentiment provider runtime config (prior change) included.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Admin-configurable thresholds (min R:R, default 2.0; min confidence,
default 70%) defining what counts as an actionable signal:
- Admin Settings: new Activation Thresholds panel
(GET/PUT /admin/settings/activation)
- GET /trades/activation exposes values to all users with access
- Signals/Setups: filters initialize from activation values
- Track Record: "Qualified signals only" toggle (default on) via
min_rr/min_confidence params on /trades/performance; the
confidence breakdown always covers the full population so the
thresholds can be validated against outcomes
- Dashboard: "Qualified" metric and qualified-first Top Setups
- Outcome evaluator unchanged: every setup is still evaluated
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
dennisthiessen