Commit Graph

13 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
dennisthiessen c4f2673799 add market-regime guard (SPY trend) — inform + warn
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New market_regime_service computes a benchmark (SPY) trend from its 50/200-day
SMAs, cached in a SystemSetting and refreshed by a nightly job; GET /market/regime
exposes it. Dashboard shows a regime banner; setup cards flag a counter-trend
caution when a setup fights the regime (LONG in a bearish market / SHORT in a
bullish one). Informational only — nothing is suppressed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-15 12:34:07 +02:00
dennisthiessen f24e5070ee fix bulk fundamentals: rate limits masked by partial FMP success
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Root cause of "price plan needed in bulk but fine on manual reload": on free
tiers FMP returns only market cap (others 402) and the chain merged that as a
partial success — so when the Finnhub/Alpha Vantage fallbacks were rate-limited
during a bulk run, the chain silently returned market-cap-only and the
collector's backoff never engaged. Manual single fetches worked because the
fallbacks weren't throttled at that moment.

Fixes:
- Chain distinguishes RateLimitError from other failures: if a fallback is
  rate-limited and fields are still missing, raise RateLimitError (unless
  allow_partial=True) so the collector backs off and retries.
- Bulk job paces requests (fundamental_request_spacing_seconds, default 3s) to
  stay under Finnhub's ~60/min, and on retry-exhaustion stores partial data and
  continues instead of aborting the whole run.
- Manual fetch passes allow_partial=True so a lone 429 doesn't fail the refresh.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-14 21:18:32 +02:00
dennisthiessen 5d41ccac1c add Telegram alerts: qualified setups, S/R proximity, score drops, daily digest
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Closes the action loop — instead of polling the dashboard, the platform pushes
actionable signals to Telegram. New hourly 'alerts' job dispatches four
toggleable triggers, deduped via a new alert_log table (cooldown-based for
qualified/S-R/digest, watermark-based for score deterioration). Admin → Settings
gains a Telegram panel (write-only bot token, chat ID, per-trigger toggles, Send
Test). Credentials follow DB > env precedence (TELEGRAM_BOT_TOKEN / _CHAT_ID).

Backend: alert_service + AlertLog model + migration 005, scheduler job, admin
endpoints/schema. Frontend: AlertSettings panel, hooks, api, types.

Deploy: run alembic upgrade (new alert_log table).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-14 19:42:18 +02:00
dennisthiessen 90618d186f add track-record reset; drop dead distance_penalty_factor knob
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Track Record: new "Reset" action (POST /admin/track-record/reset) deletes all
trade setups so stats start fresh after material scoring/setup changes — live
setups regenerate on the next scan. Guarded by a confirm dialog.

Recommendation config: remove distance_penalty_factor, which was exposed in the
admin UI but consumed nowhere (the touch-probability model superseded it). A
knob that silently does nothing is worse than no knob. Remaining defaults are
left as-is — they're reasonable, and the honest way to tune them is backtesting
against accumulated outcomes, not invented "researched" numbers.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-14 14:44:02 +02:00
dennisthiessen 316226096b Fix score refresh, add granular fetch and live job status
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Scores never updated ("101d ago"): get_score only recomputes stale/
missing dimensions, but nothing marked them stale on new data, and there
was no scheduled scoring job.
- Fetch endpoint force-recomputes dimensions + composite.
- Scheduled scan (scan_all_tickers) refreshes scores per ticker, so
  scores stay current globally, not just on manual fetch.

Granular fetch: /ingestion/fetch accepts a sources filter; the freshness
bar gets a per-row refresh button (OHLCV/Sentiment/Fundamentals fetch
that provider only — marked paid; S/R/Scores recompute for free). Header
button is now "Fetch All".

Job visibility: GET /jobs/running (any user) + sidebar live indicator
showing running scheduled jobs with progress, polled every 10s.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-14 13:10:15 +02:00
dennisthiessen 126c3b3c17 Add DeepSeek/xAI/OpenAI-compatible sentiment providers; custom dark dropdown
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Providers (admin-switchable, no redeploy):
- DeepSeek and any OpenAI-compatible endpoint (OpenRouter, Together,
  Groq, local Ollama) via a generic Chat Completions adapter + base_url
- xAI Grok with Live Search (search_parameters web+X, citations) —
  grounded tier alongside OpenAI and Gemini
- DeepSeek / generic compatible endpoints are ungrounded (no web
  search); UI shows an amber warning and labels each provider's grounding
- Optional env fallbacks DEEPSEEK_API_KEY / XAI_API_KEY

UI: replace native <select> (unstyleable white popup on Windows) with a
custom dark Dropdown component everywhere — sentiment provider, scanner
filters, market sort, indicators, admin universe, user role.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-13 12:42:04 +02:00
dennisthiessen d53ed972d1 Add multi-factor conviction gate to activation
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Make "qualified" mean an edge candidate, not just R:R + confidence.
The gate now also requires (all admin-configurable, defaults on):
- high conviction: recommended_action LONG_HIGH / SHORT_HIGH only
- clean read: risk_level Low (no contradicting signals)
- probable primary target: best target probability >= min (default 60)

- Shared predicate: app/services/qualification.py +
  frontend/src/lib/qualification.ts (mirrored)
- Activation config extended (min_target_probability,
  require_high_conviction, exclude_conflicts) with bool-aware
  get/update + validation
- /trades/performance switched to ?qualified_only=true, applying
  the full gate server-side; confidence breakdown stays unfiltered
- Dashboard "Qualified", Signals "Qualified only" toggle, and
  Track Record all use the one gate; Admin gains the new controls

Sentiment provider runtime config (prior change) included.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-13 11:50:42 +02:00
dennisthiessen 6da65b8d8f Add activation thresholds: qualified-signal defaults and views
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Admin-configurable thresholds (min R:R, default 2.0; min confidence,
default 70%) defining what counts as an actionable signal:

- Admin Settings: new Activation Thresholds panel
  (GET/PUT /admin/settings/activation)
- GET /trades/activation exposes values to all users with access
- Signals/Setups: filters initialize from activation values
- Track Record: "Qualified signals only" toggle (default on) via
  min_rr/min_confidence params on /trades/performance; the
  confidence breakdown always covers the full population so the
  thresholds can be validated against outcomes
- Dashboard: "Qualified" metric and qualified-first Top Setups
- Outcome evaluator unchanged: every setup is still evaluated

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-12 18:16:04 +02:00
dennisthiessen 21ed83c56c Add trade setup outcome tracking and performance stats
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Closes the feedback loop on R:R scanner signals:

- Nightly outcome_evaluator job replays unresolved setups against daily
  OHLCV bars: target_hit / stop_hit / ambiguous (same-bar, counted as
  loss) / expired after OUTCOME_EVALUATION_MAX_BARS (default 30)
- Migration 004: evaluated_at + outcome_date on trade_setups
- GET /trades/performance: hit rate, expectancy (avg R), total R with
  breakdowns by direction, recommended action, and confidence bucket
- New Performance page (stat cards, breakdown tables, Evaluate Now,
  methodology disclosure) wired into sidebar and mobile nav
- 17 new unit tests for evaluation logic and stats aggregation

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 19:23:57 +02:00
dennisthiessen d331f551e3 added stock split support
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2026-03-07 16:50:18 +01:00
Dennis Thiessen 0a011d4ce9 Big refactoring
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2026-03-03 15:20:18 +01:00
Dennis Thiessen 181cfe6588 major update
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2026-02-27 16:08:09 +01:00
Dennis Thiessen 61ab24490d first commit
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2026-02-20 17:31:01 +01:00