Commit Graph
13 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
dennisthiessenandClaude Fable 5 6a10c8ff09 fix: guarantee shadow scan freshness, long-only, user-scoped setup list
Second review round on the shadow book; all three findings were real.

- Scan freshness is now proven, not assumed. Pipeline steps run and fail
  independently, so a disabled or failed scan step still let the shadow
  step run on the newest *stored* setups -- a prior session's picks at
  stale prices. scan_all_tickers now records a run boundary
  (last_scan_run_started_at / _completed_at) only on successful
  completion; the shadow book refuses to trade unless COMPLETED is fresh
  and selects only setups with detected_at >= the run start. Deduplication
  to the latest row per ticker now happens BEFORE qualification, so a newer
  unqualified row suppresses an older qualified one rather than the reverse.

- Shadow selection is hard long-only. setup_qualifies only enforces
  long-only when min_momentum_percentile > 0, but 0 is a legal admin
  setting, and the cash accounting assumes long positions -- so the
  constraint is enforced in shadow selection regardless of gate config.

- The personal setup list excludes only the caller's own open positions.
  get_trade_setups gained exclude_open_trade_user_id; the trades route
  passes the authenticated user, while the Telegram broadcast stays global
  since it has no single owner.

New tests cover stale/absent scan markers, prior-run exclusion, newer
unqualified suppressing older qualified, long-only under a disabled gate,
and both sides of the user-scoped exclusion.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-21 09:31:24 +02:00
dennisthiessen b0e33e1606 fix: align production defaults and close review parity gaps
Ship greenfield min_rr=2.0 and conf=0, read-only Structural S/R, indicator
cache invalidation, and UI/gate language that treats GTL as screening not exit.
Align strategy_rank missing-vol fallback live vs backtest, single-source
PRIMARY_TARGET_MIN_RR, expand prod parity tests, and drop dead FE clients.
2026-07-18 13:03:22 +02:00
dennisthiessen 5155d00d9e feat: require gate reset before post-stop reentry 2026-07-17 19:30:40 +02:00
dennisthiessen bc50ba9136 fix: harden post-stop reentry lockdown 2026-07-17 14:17:57 +02:00
dennisthiessen 1e9f2dc4fb feat: add five-session post-stop reentry lockdown 2026-07-17 13:21:06 +02:00
dennisthiessen 23d1db1f30 Exclude open paper trades from discovery
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2026-07-04 13:01:58 +02:00
dennisthiessen 8c36cfcef1 Make live signal reads non-mutating
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2026-07-03 10:09:46 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Fable 5 ac51e23949 Serve live recommendation context on trade setup APIs and alerts
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Stored TradeSetup rows are point-in-time snapshots from the RR scan, so
the ticker page could show stale confidence/reasoning/composite (e.g.
sentiment=neutral in the setup card while the sentiment panel showed
bullish). Overlay current score/sentiment context onto the API payload
for GET /trades and GET /trades/{symbol}, gate and format Telegram
qualified-setup alerts on the same live values, and apply the
min_confidence/recommended_action filters after the overlay so they
judge what the caller actually sees. Stored setups stay frozen for
outcome analysis and backtests.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 09:17:27 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Fable 5 d53ed972d1 Add multi-factor conviction gate to activation
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Make "qualified" mean an edge candidate, not just R:R + confidence.
The gate now also requires (all admin-configurable, defaults on):
- high conviction: recommended_action LONG_HIGH / SHORT_HIGH only
- clean read: risk_level Low (no contradicting signals)
- probable primary target: best target probability >= min (default 60)

- Shared predicate: app/services/qualification.py +
  frontend/src/lib/qualification.ts (mirrored)
- Activation config extended (min_target_probability,
  require_high_conviction, exclude_conflicts) with bool-aware
  get/update + validation
- /trades/performance switched to ?qualified_only=true, applying
  the full gate server-side; confidence breakdown stays unfiltered
- Dashboard "Qualified", Signals "Qualified only" toggle, and
  Track Record all use the one gate; Admin gains the new controls

Sentiment provider runtime config (prior change) included.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-13 11:50:42 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Fable 5 6da65b8d8f Add activation thresholds: qualified-signal defaults and views
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Admin-configurable thresholds (min R:R, default 2.0; min confidence,
default 70%) defining what counts as an actionable signal:

- Admin Settings: new Activation Thresholds panel
  (GET/PUT /admin/settings/activation)
- GET /trades/activation exposes values to all users with access
- Signals/Setups: filters initialize from activation values
- Track Record: "Qualified signals only" toggle (default on) via
  min_rr/min_confidence params on /trades/performance; the
  confidence breakdown always covers the full population so the
  thresholds can be validated against outcomes
- Dashboard: "Qualified" metric and qualified-first Top Setups
- Outcome evaluator unchanged: every setup is still evaluated

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-12 18:16:04 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Fable 5 21ed83c56c Add trade setup outcome tracking and performance stats
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Closes the feedback loop on R:R scanner signals:

- Nightly outcome_evaluator job replays unresolved setups against daily
  OHLCV bars: target_hit / stop_hit / ambiguous (same-bar, counted as
  loss) / expired after OUTCOME_EVALUATION_MAX_BARS (default 30)
- Migration 004: evaluated_at + outcome_date on trade_setups
- GET /trades/performance: hit rate, expectancy (avg R), total R with
  breakdowns by direction, recommended action, and confidence bucket
- New Performance page (stat cards, breakdown tables, Evaluate Now,
  methodology disclosure) wired into sidebar and mobile nav
- 17 new unit tests for evaluation logic and stats aggregation

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 19:23:57 +02:00
Dennis Thiessen 0a011d4ce9 Big refactoring
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2026-03-03 15:20:18 +01:00
Dennis Thiessen 61ab24490d first commit
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2026-02-20 17:31:01 +01:00