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14 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
dennisthiessenandClaude Opus 5 7fdcac3b55 docs: carry the risk-monitor wording through docs, comments and logs
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Follows 5ea0785, which renamed the user-visible labels. This finishes the pass
so code, docs and operator output use one vocabulary: README (pipeline list,
route table, FRED row), the methodology doc title, .env.example and config
comments, the snapshot model / event-study / service / test docstrings, the
scheduler section headers and morning-pipeline docstring, the TopBar status
text ("bullish regime" -> "bullish trend"), and the four "Regime monitor:" log
prefixes.

Deliberately NOT changed, because "market regime" is also a standard finance
term and most occurrences are not this job: the backtest caveat "~6 months is
roughly one market regime" in backtest_service, README, BacktestPanel and every
generated reports/*.json; "a regime shift" in TrackRecordPanel; and the
capacity-bracket findings doc. Renaming those would have made the text wrong.

Also unchanged, being persisted or externally linked rather than wording: the
regime_monitor / market_regime job ids, the regime_quadrant_enabled setting key,
the /regime route, METHODOLOGY and the snapshot fields, the service/test module
filenames, and docs/research/regime-monitor-v3.md's path (referenced from commit
messages). The doc now carries a one-line note recording the old name and why
those identifiers still use it.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-07 22:51:49 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Opus 5 5ea0785be6 refactor(ui): name the two regime jobs for what they actually do
"Market Regime" and "Regime Monitor" sat next to each other in Admin -> Jobs
(pipeline steps 4 and 5) reading as the same job. They are unrelated, and the
names had it backwards: "Market Regime" is the SPY 50/200 guard that drives the
TopBar trend dot and the counter-trend warning on setups, so it changes what a
setup shows; "Regime Monitor" is the observational AI/Tech thermometer that
explicitly feeds no trades. The more consequential job had the vaguer name.

  market_regime   "Market Regime"   -> "Market Trend (SPY)"
  regime_monitor  "Regime Monitor"  -> "AI/Tech Risk Monitor"

Display strings only. The job *ids* are persisted -- they key the pipeline step
list, cron config, runtime tracking and run history -- so they are untouched,
as is the /regime route, which keeps existing links working.

The label the admin UI renders comes from JOB_LABELS in admin_service (via
routers/jobs.py), not from the scheduler's APScheduler `name=`. Both are updated;
only the former is user-visible.

Carries the vocabulary through the rest of the surface so it does not half-land:
page title, nav ("Regime" -> "Risk"), the empty-state instruction that names the
job to run, the quadrant alert toggle, the morning-pipeline hint, and the
Telegram alert headline ("Regime quadrant change" -> "AI/Tech risk quadrant
change"). No test asserts any of these strings.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-07 19:48:15 +02:00
dennisthiessen f59c0c3484 Add system alerts log with nav badge and Admin Alerts tab.
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Persist job and ingestion warnings/errors for 7 days, surface a dismissible top-nav badge, treat stale OHLCV as a warning (e.g. ticker renames), and show market bar age on the ticker freshness chip.
2026-07-14 13:38:04 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Fable 5 b0b691da9c Overview: regime to the nav bar, watchlist up top
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The market regime banner took a full-width row on the dashboard for
ambient context. It is now a subtle status in the top bar (colored dot
+ "neutral regime", full headline and the longs/shorts caution in the
tooltip) linking to /regime - matching the mockup's nav.

The watchlist strip moves from the bottom of the dashboard (where it
got lost) into the freed spot right under the hero: a slim chip row
with today's move per symbol and the full-watchlist link. The empty
state is a one-line hint instead of a callout box.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-10 15:31:41 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Fable 5 02cf9d1cba Match Horizon mockup structure; restore qualified-first radar
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Fixes from first prod review of the redesign:

- Top navigation bar (TopBar) replaces the sidebar, like the mockup:
  wordmark + sections + ticker search + jobs/status/logout; content in
  a centered max-width column. MobileNav unchanged.
- Radar panel: qualified setups lead again (the actionable list, as
  the old Top Setups did); non-qualified sit behind an "N below the
  gate" toggle with per-rule reasons, auto-open only when nothing
  qualifies. Adds mini radar fingerprints for the top 3 qualified
  (dimension scores from the rankings endpoint, fixed axis order).
- Dashboard layout: open positions and radar side by side (xl), as in
  the mockup.
- ScoreCard: the radar fingerprint was inside the showComposite block,
  which the ticker page disables - it never rendered. Now it shows
  whenever >= 3 dimensions exist.
- TradeChart: fresh positions with < 2 bars since entry rendered no
  chart; now pads with ~10 pre-entry context bars (gray) and marks the
  entry point. First open position auto-expands so the chart is
  visible without a click.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-10 07:44:55 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Fable 5 20f6981712 Horizon redesign: space theme, visual dashboard, chart reskin
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Replaces the citron/green glass theme with the Horizon direction
(mockup at /design-horizon): space-void background, starfield, dim
Mars horizon, rim-cyan accent, rose for negative. Palette validated
for CVD separation and contrast on the dark surface.

- tailwind.config: gray -> cool space neutrals, blue/emerald -> cyan
  scale, red -> rose; display font Space Grotesk
- globals.css: Horizon tokens, atmosphere, denser glass, cyan
  buttons/inputs, price-rail / R-bar / radar chart CSS
- Dashboard rebuilt: verdict hero, top-pick card with spatial price
  rail, KPI tiles, open positions as diverging R-bars with expandable
  detail + trade chart (OHLCV since entry, entry/stop/target levels),
  radar list with per-setup disqualify reason, watchlist chips
- OpenTradesPanel: table replaced by R-bar rows; all fields kept in
  the drill-down (shares, P&L, alpha, trailing stop, sell)
- qualification: disqualifyReason() mirrors qualifiesSetup rule order
- CandlestickChart: canvas colors moved to Horizon palette; S/R now
  cyan/neutral so rose stays reserved for the stop level
- ScoreCard: radar score fingerprint with hover values
- Design mockup pages included (routed in App.tsx)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-10 07:24:17 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Opus 4.8 da0bb3367e feat: company names for tickers (Alpaca backfill + subtle display)
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Store an optional company name on Ticker (migration 014) and backfill it from
Alpaca's asset list in a single Trading-API call for the whole universe — no
per-ticker fetch. Runs automatically at the end of universe bootstrap and via a
manual "Backfill Names" button (admin) / POST /admin/tickers/backfill-names.

The name ships on /tickers; a shared symbol→name map (useTickerNames) lets any view
show it without its own request. Displayed subtly next to the symbol — in the global
search, the ticker header, and as a small muted line under the symbol in Top Setups
and Open Trades (no extra column, truncated so it never widens the table).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-01 10:50:40 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Opus 4.8 30effa89b7 feat: ticker search, watchlist momentum column, alpha vs S&P 500
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Three usability fixes:

1. Global ticker search in the sidebar (TickerSearch) — typeahead over the
   tracked universe that opens a ticker's detail page without adding it to the
   watchlist. Also wired into the mobile nav.

2. Watchlist table shows the ticker's 12-1 momentum percentile (the top-pick
   selector) instead of the noisy full S/R-level list. Enriched from the setup
   already loaded in watchlist_service._enrich_entry — no extra query.

3. Alpha vs the S&P 500 on paper trades (open + closed). New benchmark_prices
   table + benchmark_service store SPY daily closes (a standalone series, not a
   Ticker, so it never enters the scanner / momentum ranking / rankings) via a
   new daily-pipeline step. paper_trade_service computes per-trade
   benchmark_return / alpha_pct / alpha_usd over each holding period; the open-
   trades table, dashboard, and closed-trades panel surface per-trade and total
   alpha. The list read path never makes a provider call.

Deploy: alembic upgrade head, then run the benchmark/daily job once to populate
SPY closes (alpha shows "—" until then).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-28 08:44:40 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Opus 4.8 ebff19940b feat: add standalone AI/Tech regime-change monitor tab
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A new /regime tab scoring how far the AI/Tech bull regime has deteriorated
toward a re-rating as a single 0-100 index with per-signal breakdown and a
7/30-day trend. Intentionally decoupled: nothing reads its output to gate or
score trades — the daily-pipeline membership is scheduling only.

- regime_monitor_service: price sub-scores (P1-P6 via Alpaca, like
  market_regime), VIX + HY credit spreads via a small FRED helper, weighted
  aggregation over available signals (missing source -> n/a, dropped from the
  denominator), one snapshot row/day, and a ~90-day history backfill by
  replaying the already-fetched series as-of each past day.
- F1/F3 fundamentals proposed by the configured grounded LLM (reuses
  sentiment_provider_service config resolution), with a manual override + lock.
- regime_snapshots table (migration 011); endpoints on the existing market
  router; admin-editable weights/threshold; standalone /regime page.

Data needs: prices via Alpaca, VIX/credit via FRED (optional key — signals show
n/a without it). No LLM needed for history.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 11:51:45 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Fable 5 316226096b Fix score refresh, add granular fetch and live job status
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Scores never updated ("101d ago"): get_score only recomputes stale/
missing dimensions, but nothing marked them stale on new data, and there
was no scheduled scoring job.
- Fetch endpoint force-recomputes dimensions + composite.
- Scheduled scan (scan_all_tickers) refreshes scores per ticker, so
  scores stay current globally, not just on manual fetch.

Granular fetch: /ingestion/fetch accepts a sources filter; the freshness
bar gets a per-row refresh button (OHLCV/Sentiment/Fundamentals fetch
that provider only — marked paid; S/R/Scores recompute for free). Header
button is now "Fetch All".

Job visibility: GET /jobs/running (any user) + sidebar live indicator
showing running scheduled jobs with progress, polled every 10s.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-14 13:10:15 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Fable 5 5a0e8c8258 Fix sidebar username, Signals filter clarity and layout
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- JWT now carries a username claim; sidebar shows "Signed in as <name>"
  instead of the bare user id (sub). Re-login required for the new claim.
- Signals: Min R:R / Min Confidence inputs reflect the effective filter —
  auto-filled from the activation gate when "Qualified only" is on, reset
  to 0 when off (no more misleading 0 while the gate is active).
- Signals layout: Run Scanner moved to its own action row (it's a job
  trigger, not a filter); qualified toggle grouped with the refinement
  filters under one Filters panel.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-14 12:11:39 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Fable 5 9c6a0a72fa Redesign: phosphor-terminal identity and simplified 4-page structure
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Information architecture (6 nav destinations -> 4):
- New Overview home: metric strip (live setups, high confidence,
  hit rate, expectancy), top-5 setups, watchlist pulse
- Market = Watchlist + Rankings merged as tabs; scoring weights
  moved into a collapsible disclosure
- Signals = Scanner + Performance merged as tabs (Setups | Track
  Record) with actions inside the panels
- Legacy routes redirect (/watchlist, /rankings, /scanner,
  /performance)

Visual identity:
- Warm ash-green dark palette replaces cold navy; citron lime
  accent replaces blue (Tailwind gray/blue remapped at config
  level so all components reskin)
- Primary buttons: lime with ink text; long/short stays
  emerald/red
- Typography: Bricolage Grotesque display, Instrument Sans body,
  IBM Plex Mono for all numerals incl. chart canvas labels
- Atmosphere: graph-paper grid + citron glow + film grain;
  pulsing brand dot; mono-numbered nav

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-12 14:42:05 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Fable 5 21ed83c56c Add trade setup outcome tracking and performance stats
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Closes the feedback loop on R:R scanner signals:

- Nightly outcome_evaluator job replays unresolved setups against daily
  OHLCV bars: target_hit / stop_hit / ambiguous (same-bar, counted as
  loss) / expired after OUTCOME_EVALUATION_MAX_BARS (default 30)
- Migration 004: evaluated_at + outcome_date on trade_setups
- GET /trades/performance: hit rate, expectancy (avg R), total R with
  breakdowns by direction, recommended action, and confidence bucket
- New Performance page (stat cards, breakdown tables, Evaluate Now,
  methodology disclosure) wired into sidebar and mobile nav
- 17 new unit tests for evaluation logic and stats aggregation

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 19:23:57 +02:00
Dennis Thiessen 61ab24490d first commit
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2026-02-20 17:31:01 +01:00