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Author SHA1 Message Date
dennisthiessenandClaude Opus 5 ad3e47dc50 feat(universe): separate scanner membership from retained history
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bootstrap_universe(prune_missing=True) ran DELETE FROM tickers, cascading OHLCV,
setups, scores and S/R levels away for any symbol that had merely dropped out of
the index. Migration 032's own comment predicted this. The survivorship audit
measured what it costs: 2.09 Sharpe against 1.57 on universe composition alone.

Migration 035 adds untracked_on, the sibling of delisted_on — delisted means the
security stopped trading, untracked means a prune took it out of the scanner.
Nothing is deleted either way.

Migration 036 separates three more things that were still conflated:

  universe_memberships       what the index actually contained, when
  tickers.untracked_on       excluded from scanning by a prune
  tickers.scan_disabled_on   the operator's own "stop scanning this"
  tickers.tracking_source    who owns the row: a bootstrap, or an operator

The operator flag is its own column because with one column serving both
writers, a prune -> re-entry cycle would clear an explicit "off" — re-entry
cannot tell who set it. Re-entry clears untracked_on and never touches
scan_disabled_on.

untracked_on is NOT current index membership. The scheduled sync runs
prune_missing=False, so a symbol can have left the index and still be scanned;
the two legitimately differ and nothing asserts they agree.

Tracking ownership is sticky towards manual: prune touches index-owned rows
only, and a bootstrap never converts manual to index — a hand-added symbol that
joins the index would otherwise lose its protection the moment it left again,
which is exactly when it is needed. An explicit add of an index-owned symbol
claims it as manual without touching either off-switch.

Membership is observed, never asserted. first_seen_on is the first live
sighting; absent_since is the first observation that found the symbol GONE, so
the interval is [first_seen_on, absent_since) — named for what it stores rather
than "last_seen_on", which would have claimed the opposite. Intervals are
append-only, so a symbol that leaves and returns has two and a point-in-time
query for the gap correctly answers "not a member". members_on() implements the
boundary rule once. A date before the first live sync returns empty: that means
"we were not looking", not "the index was empty".

A failed fetch drives nothing. The cache and seed fallbacks mean the live fetch
failed, and the seed lists are ~44 symbols against a ~500-symbol universe — a
regression test caught a seed fallback untracking 2 of 3 tickers. Recording,
pruning and clearing prune flags all require a live source; only adding still
runs, so a cold start can still bootstrap from seeds.

Migration decisions: existing rows become manual (fail-safe — a wrong guess
costs an un-pruned symbol, not one swept out of the scanner), and existing
untracked_on values are copied into scan_disabled_on, since the original writer
is ambiguous and re-entry clears the prune column.

Backtest eligibility is unchanged. _load_backtest_symbols deliberately does not
use active_only, so today's scanner state cannot erase yesterday's candidates,
and untracking a symbol still cannot silence a coverage gap in the report.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01HAH7vVtn7qbcn1EVheecHQ
2026-09-07 19:30:05 +02:00
dennisthiessenandClaude Opus 5 1d4ed39fd2 fix(tickers): close the delisting review findings
Detection could retire an actively traded symbol — silently, since it then
vanishes from every signal. Three causes:

- Form 25 is filed per security class. An issuer removing its notes, preferred
  or warrants files one while the common keeps trading. The filing's own
  descriptionClassSecurity distinguishes them, so the primary document is now
  fetched and read; anything not recognisably common equity is rejected, as is
  anything unreadable (pre-2009 filings have no primary_doc.xml). Fail closed.
- Form 15 ends a reporting obligation and is no evidence trading stopped. The
  whole family is dropped.
- A historical filing for a long-gone class could retire a symbol whose bars ran
  years later, stamping the old date. Filings before the last bar (less a 30-day
  lead for the exchange) are now ignored.

Rule 12d2-2 makes removal effective ten days after filing, so delisted_on is the
effective date rather than the filing date.

bootstrap_universe(prune_missing=True) still ran a cascading delete over
delisted rows, undoing the retention this branch exists for; it now skips them
and reports kept_delisted so the count is explicable.

clear_delisted had no route, which made "safe to automate because it is
reversible" false — reversal needed SQL. POST/DELETE /tickers/{symbol}/delisting
now mark and un-mark, giving an operator a non-destructive alternative to the
cascading DELETE that was the only option.

Shared-CIK siblings (GOOG/GOOGL) stay safe by construction: the probe is
per-symbol and gated on that symbol's own staleness, so a class that still
trades is never probed.

Not addressed: pruning a symbol merely dropped from the index still destroys its
history — the same survivorship problem in a different costume, needing a
tracked/membership state separate from delisting.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-11 16:58:51 +02:00
Dennis Thiessen 61ab24490d first commit
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2026-02-20 17:31:01 +01:00