Fixes stale below-price setups showing as current recommendations. Three
distinct causes share the symptom (get_trade_setups returns the latest stored
setup per direction and never expires it):
- Genuine blue-sky (no overhead S/R): scanner + TargetGenerator now project a
measured-move target (entry +/- 3*ATR, ~2:1 R:R), flagged projected with a
low sr_strength probability haircut. Overhead check keys on level tag OR price
so it never projects through a straddling resistance cluster.
- Projected targets clear a stricter activation bar (long-only, momentum >= 90,
confidence >= min+10), independent of the general momentum gate. Mirrored in
frontend qualification.ts.
- Played-out UX (fixes the reported TTWO case, which is R:R-starved under a
resistance cluster, not blue-sky): when price is at/past target or through the
stop, RecommendationPanel shows a "No current setup" state and softens the
stale ticker-level header/reasoning, instead of a stale actionable card.
No migration: the projected flag rides in existing targets_json. 504 backend
unit tests pass; frontend typechecks.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
