Commit Graph

13 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
dennisthiessen da0bb3367e feat: company names for tickers (Alpaca backfill + subtle display)
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Store an optional company name on Ticker (migration 014) and backfill it from
Alpaca's asset list in a single Trading-API call for the whole universe — no
per-ticker fetch. Runs automatically at the end of universe bootstrap and via a
manual "Backfill Names" button (admin) / POST /admin/tickers/backfill-names.

The name ships on /tickers; a shared symbol→name map (useTickerNames) lets any view
show it without its own request. Displayed subtly next to the symbol — in the global
search, the ticker header, and as a small muted line under the symbol in Top Setups
and Open Trades (no extra column, truncated so it never widens the table).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-01 10:50:40 +02:00
dennisthiessen 1566b84379 feat: trailing-stop auto-exit for paper trades + close/digest alerts
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Applies the backtest-validated trailing stop to live paper trading, and surfaces
it transparently.

Exit (A):
- New paper-trade exit policy (paper_exit_mode=trailing, paper_trailing_pct=12),
  tunable in Admin → Paper-Trade Exit. resolve_open_trades runs a trailing stop
  (initial stop as floor, ratchets up from the peak; target ignored — the
  validated rule) and records close_reason (trailing|stop|target|manual; +migration
  013).
- list_trades enriches open trades with the live trailing-stop level + distance %.
  Open Trades panel shows the active tactic and a Trail Stop column.

Alerts (B):
- Daily digest now lists open trades with unrealized gain, trailing stop, and how
  far away it is.
- New "trade closed" alert: one summary per auto-close (trailing/target/stop, not
  manual) — direction, reason, days held, P&L abs+%/R — covering wins AND
  stop-loss losses. Deduped by trade id; toggle in Admin alerts.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-30 18:48:05 +02:00
dennisthiessen 30effa89b7 feat: ticker search, watchlist momentum column, alpha vs S&P 500
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Three usability fixes:

1. Global ticker search in the sidebar (TickerSearch) — typeahead over the
   tracked universe that opens a ticker's detail page without adding it to the
   watchlist. Also wired into the mobile nav.

2. Watchlist table shows the ticker's 12-1 momentum percentile (the top-pick
   selector) instead of the noisy full S/R-level list. Enriched from the setup
   already loaded in watchlist_service._enrich_entry — no extra query.

3. Alpha vs the S&P 500 on paper trades (open + closed). New benchmark_prices
   table + benchmark_service store SPY daily closes (a standalone series, not a
   Ticker, so it never enters the scanner / momentum ranking / rankings) via a
   new daily-pipeline step. paper_trade_service computes per-trade
   benchmark_return / alpha_pct / alpha_usd over each holding period; the open-
   trades table, dashboard, and closed-trades panel surface per-trade and total
   alpha. The list read path never makes a provider call.

Deploy: alembic upgrade head, then run the benchmark/daily job once to populate
SPY closes (alpha shows "—" until then).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-28 08:44:40 +02:00
dennisthiessen ebff19940b feat: add standalone AI/Tech regime-change monitor tab
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A new /regime tab scoring how far the AI/Tech bull regime has deteriorated
toward a re-rating as a single 0-100 index with per-signal breakdown and a
7/30-day trend. Intentionally decoupled: nothing reads its output to gate or
score trades — the daily-pipeline membership is scheduling only.

- regime_monitor_service: price sub-scores (P1-P6 via Alpaca, like
  market_regime), VIX + HY credit spreads via a small FRED helper, weighted
  aggregation over available signals (missing source -> n/a, dropped from the
  denominator), one snapshot row/day, and a ~90-day history backfill by
  replaying the already-fetched series as-of each past day.
- F1/F3 fundamentals proposed by the configured grounded LLM (reuses
  sentiment_provider_service config resolution), with a manual override + lock.
- regime_snapshots table (migration 011); endpoints on the existing market
  router; admin-editable weights/threshold; standalone /regime page.

Data needs: prices via Alpaca, VIX/credit via FRED (optional key — signals show
n/a without it). No LLM needed for history.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 11:51:45 +02:00
dennisthiessen 605f95098c momentum gate: long-only + wire the percentile onto live setups
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Part 1 — long-only. The momentum edge is long top-momentum; the gate was
qualifying shorts on high-momentum names (fighting the trend), which showed as
the -0.13R Short(qual.) drag. While the gate is active, shorts no longer qualify
(backend qualification, backtest _momentum_qualifies, and the frontend mirror).

Part 2 — production wiring. Live setups now carry a real momentum rank, so the
dashboard, the Track Record's qualified stats, and outcome evaluation all gate on
the same value instead of deferring to floors:
- new momentum_service.compute_momentum_percentiles: 12-1 momentum per ticker,
  ranked across the universe into a {symbol: percentile} map.
- the daily R:R scan ranks the universe up front and stores each setup's
  percentile (new trade_setups.momentum_percentile column, migration 010).
- enhance_trade_setup mutates the same row, so the percentile is preserved;
  _trade_setup_to_dict + TradeSetupResponse expose it to the API.

Until a fresh scan runs, pre-existing setups have a null percentile and the gate
falls back to floors for them (longs) / excludes them (shorts) — they fill in on
the next scan. 341 backend tests pass; frontend build clean.

Needs the alembic upgrade (migration 010) on deploy.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-24 07:07:38 +02:00
dennisthiessen e5166ed668 sentiment: LLM buy/hold/avoid + full analysis, and search-budget scoping
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Richer LLM output (same grounded call, ~no extra cost):
- All providers now also return a recommendation (buy/hold/avoid) and a thorough
  reasoning paragraph; Gemini now actually captures reasoning + grounding
  citations (it was dropping them). Stored on sentiment_scores (migration 008),
  exposed in the API; display-only — NOT fed into the composite/EV.
- Ticker Sentiment panel shows an "LLM view" badge and a "Full analysis & sources"
  expander with the complete reasoning + citations.

Search-budget scoping (Gemini grounding free tier = 5000/mo):
- collect_sentiment now targets only watchlist + open paper trades + top-N by
  composite, skips tickers refreshed within sentiment_fresh_hours (72h), and caps
  per run (sentiment_max_per_run). Once the relevant set is fresh, runs spend 0
  searches until it ages out — bounding monthly usage well under the free tier.
- Widened sentiment lookback to 7d (scoring + display) so sparser collection
  still feeds the dimension score.

Deploy: alembic upgrade (sentiment_scores.recommendation). Switch provider to
Gemini Flash in Admin for the cost win (grounded, cheapest).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 16:34:19 +02:00
dennisthiessen a69557f5d8 add paper trading: mark a setup as taken, track open P&L, sell
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New paper_trades table (migration 007) + service/router. "Mark as taken" on each
setup card (shares prefilled from position sizing, entry from current price, both
editable) records a simulated trade. Overview gains an Open Trades table that
marks each position to the latest close — P&L in $, %, and R-multiples — with a
total unrealized P&L footer and a Sell button to close at the current price.
Closed trades are retained for future realized-P&L reporting.

Deploy: alembic upgrade (new paper_trades table).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 06:33:56 +02:00
dennisthiessen f0b92a9718 add earnings-date guard — warn when a report falls in the target horizon
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Finnhub's earnings calendar now supplies next_earnings_date through the
fundamentals chain; persisted on fundamental_data (migration 006) and exposed in
the fundamentals API. The recommendation panel warns when earnings fall within
the ~30-day target horizon (a report can gap price through stop/target) and
otherwise shows the next date. Informational only.

Deploy: run alembic upgrade (new fundamental_data.next_earnings_date column).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-15 12:44:08 +02:00
dennisthiessen 5d41ccac1c add Telegram alerts: qualified setups, S/R proximity, score drops, daily digest
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Closes the action loop — instead of polling the dashboard, the platform pushes
actionable signals to Telegram. New hourly 'alerts' job dispatches four
toggleable triggers, deduped via a new alert_log table (cooldown-based for
qualified/S-R/digest, watermark-based for score deterioration). Admin → Settings
gains a Telegram panel (write-only bot token, chat ID, per-trigger toggles, Send
Test). Credentials follow DB > env precedence (TELEGRAM_BOT_TOKEN / _CHAT_ID).

Backend: alert_service + AlertLog model + migration 005, scheduler job, admin
endpoints/schema. Frontend: AlertSettings panel, hooks, api, types.

Deploy: run alembic upgrade (new alert_log table).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-14 19:42:18 +02:00
dennisthiessen 21ed83c56c Add trade setup outcome tracking and performance stats
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Closes the feedback loop on R:R scanner signals:

- Nightly outcome_evaluator job replays unresolved setups against daily
  OHLCV bars: target_hit / stop_hit / ambiguous (same-bar, counted as
  loss) / expired after OUTCOME_EVALUATION_MAX_BARS (default 30)
- Migration 004: evaluated_at + outcome_date on trade_setups
- GET /trades/performance: hit rate, expectancy (avg R), total R with
  breakdowns by direction, recommended action, and confidence bucket
- New Performance page (stat cards, breakdown tables, Evaluate Now,
  methodology disclosure) wired into sidebar and mobile nav
- 17 new unit tests for evaluation logic and stats aggregation

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 19:23:57 +02:00
Dennis Thiessen 0a011d4ce9 Big refactoring
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2026-03-03 15:20:18 +01:00
Dennis Thiessen 181cfe6588 major update
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2026-02-27 16:08:09 +01:00
Dennis Thiessen 61ab24490d first commit
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2026-02-20 17:31:01 +01:00