Add multi-factor conviction gate to activation
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Make "qualified" mean an edge candidate, not just R:R + confidence.
The gate now also requires (all admin-configurable, defaults on):
- high conviction: recommended_action LONG_HIGH / SHORT_HIGH only
- clean read: risk_level Low (no contradicting signals)
- probable primary target: best target probability >= min (default 60)

- Shared predicate: app/services/qualification.py +
  frontend/src/lib/qualification.ts (mirrored)
- Activation config extended (min_target_probability,
  require_high_conviction, exclude_conflicts) with bool-aware
  get/update + validation
- /trades/performance switched to ?qualified_only=true, applying
  the full gate server-side; confidence breakdown stays unfiltered
- Dashboard "Qualified", Signals "Qualified only" toggle, and
  Track Record all use the one gate; Admin gains the new controls

Sentiment provider runtime config (prior change) included.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
2026-06-13 11:50:42 +02:00
parent 6da65b8d8f
commit d53ed972d1
25 changed files with 924 additions and 110 deletions
+33
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@@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
import type { ActivationConfig, TradeSetup } from './types';
const HIGH_CONVICTION_ACTIONS = new Set(['LONG_HIGH', 'SHORT_HIGH']);
export function bestTargetProbability(setup: TradeSetup): number {
return setup.targets?.length ? Math.max(...setup.targets.map((t) => t.probability)) : 0;
}
/**
* Whether a setup clears the activation gate. Mirrors the backend predicate in
* app/services/qualification.py — keep the two in sync.
*/
export function qualifiesSetup(setup: TradeSetup, config: ActivationConfig): boolean {
if (setup.rr_ratio < config.min_rr) return false;
if ((setup.confidence_score ?? 0) < config.min_confidence) return false;
if (config.require_high_conviction && !HIGH_CONVICTION_ACTIONS.has(setup.recommended_action ?? '')) {
return false;
}
if (config.exclude_conflicts && (setup.risk_level ?? '') !== 'Low') return false;
if (config.min_target_probability > 0 && bestTargetProbability(setup) < config.min_target_probability) {
return false;
}
return true;
}
/** Short human summary of the active gate, e.g. for tooltips/labels. */
export function activationSummary(config: ActivationConfig): string {
const parts = [`R:R ≥ ${config.min_rr.toFixed(1)}`, `conf ≥ ${config.min_confidence.toFixed(0)}%`];
if (config.require_high_conviction) parts.push('high-conviction');
if (config.exclude_conflicts) parts.push('clean');
if (config.min_target_probability > 0) parts.push(`target ≥ ${config.min_target_probability.toFixed(0)}%`);
return parts.join(' · ');
}
+25 -1
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@@ -152,10 +152,34 @@ export interface PerformanceStats {
by_confidence: Record<string, OutcomeBucketStats>;
}
// Activation thresholds: what counts as an actionable signal
// Activation gate: what counts as an actionable signal
export interface ActivationConfig {
min_rr: number;
min_confidence: number;
min_target_probability: number;
require_high_conviction: boolean;
exclude_conflicts: boolean;
}
// Runtime sentiment LLM configuration
export interface SentimentProviderConfig {
provider: string;
model: string;
api_key_configured: boolean;
api_key_source: 'database' | 'environment' | 'none';
valid_providers: string[];
default_models: Record<string, string>;
}
export interface SentimentTestResult {
ok: boolean;
provider: string;
model: string;
ticker?: string;
classification?: string;
confidence?: number;
reasoning?: string | null;
error?: string;
}
export interface TradeTarget {