redesign activation gate to expected value + make pipelines cron-configurable
Diagnosing "no qualified signals for 5 days": setups were generated but none qualified. The gate required BOTH a high min_rr (2.0) AND a high min_target_probability (60), which became contradictory after the Jun-15 probability recalibration — probability already embeds R:R via the 1/(rr+1) ruin term, so high-R:R targets are inherently low-probability and nothing cleared both. Gate is now expected value (R): p*rr - (1-p) from the primary target's probability. R:R and confidence stay as floors; high-conviction / exclude-conflicts / min-target-probability become optional tighteners (default off). Defaults: min_expected_value=0.15, min_rr=1.2, min_confidence=55. EV is only enforced when computable. Migration 009 clears stored activation_* rows so the new defaults apply. Backtest sweeps min_expected_value instead of target probability. Scheduling: pipelines are now cron-configurable in Admin -> Jobs. daily_pipeline (full, default 0 7 * * *) plus a new light intraday_pipeline (OHLCV + outcome eval, default hourly US session) that keeps prices/live-R:R current without setup churn. Fundamentals on its own early weekly cron. Timezone configurable (default Europe/Berlin). Moving interval->CronTrigger also fixes the restart-deferral bug where an interval job's countdown resets on every process restart. 319 backend unit tests pass; frontend tsc clean. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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@@ -88,6 +88,7 @@ class TestConfigureScheduler:
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"market_regime",
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"backtest",
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"daily_pipeline",
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"intraday_pipeline",
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}
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def test_configure_is_idempotent(self):
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@@ -100,6 +101,7 @@ class TestConfigureScheduler:
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"alerts",
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"backtest",
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"daily_pipeline",
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"intraday_pipeline",
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"data_collector",
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"fundamental_collector",
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"market_regime",
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