Fix post-cluster neutral strength ablation
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@@ -498,6 +498,29 @@ Run on macOS:
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Do not validate any traffic arm yet. First establish whether geometry, pivots, or
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the range-occupancy grid reproduces production on pre-2024 training data.
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Initial result:
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| arm | Sharpe | CAGR | MaxDD | net avg R | ex-top-5% |
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|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
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| production control | 1.28 | 28.8% | 21.4% | 0.230 | 0.066 |
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| pivots only | 1.38 | 32.9% | 25.2% | 0.236 | 0.076 |
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| traffic grid only | **1.72** | **41.8%** | **16.8%** | **0.271** | **0.136** |
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The traffic grid is the first research arm to beat control simultaneously on
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Sharpe, CAGR, drawdown, and robust expectancy. It retains 264 production setups,
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adds 240 positive-expectancy setups, and removes 412 weaker setups. This supports
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the hypothesis that the useful legacy feature is the volume-weighted range-
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occupancy grid, not pivots or visually meaningful S/R.
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The first geometry-neutral result is not interpretable: neutral strength was set
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before the shared zone cluster, which summed multiple 50-strength constituents
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back to 100. Neutrality is now enforced after clustering. Rerun only that arm:
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```bash
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.venv/bin/python scripts/run_sr_v2_matrix.py traffic \
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--only-arm legacy_geometry_neutral --workers 14
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```
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**Next runs, if picked back up:**
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- A **per-name target model** for clear-air setups instead of a constant k×ATR. This
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