research: add focused portfolio capacity matrix
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@@ -68,6 +68,11 @@ ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1]
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if str(ROOT) not in sys.path:
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sys.path.insert(0, str(ROOT))
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from scripts.research_rankings import ( # noqa: E402
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_live_universe_rank_map,
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_period_percentiles,
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)
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CACHE_VERSION = "research-matrix-v1-daily-prod"
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# Pre-registered arm catalogue (order is report order). Control is a0.
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@@ -210,66 +215,6 @@ def _sqlite_url(path: Path) -> str:
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return f"sqlite+aiosqlite:///{path.resolve().as_posix()}"
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def _period_percentiles(
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observations: list[dict], value_key: str
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) -> dict[tuple[str, str], float]:
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by_period: dict[tuple, list[dict]] = {}
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for row in observations:
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if row.get(value_key) is None:
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continue
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period = tuple(row["ranking_period"])
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by_period.setdefault(period, []).append(row)
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result: dict[tuple[str, str], float] = {}
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for group in by_period.values():
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ordered = sorted(
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group, key=lambda row: (float(row[value_key]), str(row["symbol"]))
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)
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denominator = len(ordered) - 1
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for rank, row in enumerate(ordered):
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result[(str(row["symbol"]), str(row["date"]))] = round(
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rank / denominator * 100.0 if denominator > 0 else 100.0,
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2,
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)
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return result
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def _live_universe_rank_map(
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observations: list[dict],
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benchmark_closes: dict[date, float],
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momentum_weight: float,
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) -> dict[tuple[str, str], dict[str, float | None]]:
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raw_pct = _period_percentiles(observations, "momentum")
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residual_pct = _period_percentiles(observations, "residual_momentum")
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vol_pct = _period_percentiles(observations, "vol_6m")
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benchmark_ords = sorted(value.toordinal() for value in benchmark_closes)
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residual_start_ord = benchmark_ords[251] if len(benchmark_ords) >= 252 else None
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ranks: dict[tuple[str, str], dict[str, float | None]] = {}
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for row in observations:
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identity = (str(row["symbol"]), str(row["date"]))
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asof_ord = date.fromisoformat(identity[1]).toordinal()
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momentum_pct = (
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residual_pct.get(identity)
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if residual_start_ord is not None and asof_ord >= residual_start_ord
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else raw_pct.get(identity)
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)
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volatility_pct = vol_pct.get(identity)
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strategy_rank = (
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round(
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momentum_pct * momentum_weight
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+ volatility_pct * (1.0 - momentum_weight),
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2,
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)
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if momentum_pct is not None and volatility_pct is not None
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else momentum_pct
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)
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ranks[identity] = {
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"momentum_percentile": momentum_pct,
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"volatility_percentile": volatility_pct,
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"strategy_rank": strategy_rank,
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}
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return ranks
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def _parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace:
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parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(
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description=__doc__,
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